Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50160f25ad153cb3e3bdcd555c20b844eed46102c5423cb343053c784ba39f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,396,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,396,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 63c | 1,916,462$1,214,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702,462.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 38c | 765,890$287,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287,359.91 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 36c | 407,404$146,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,665.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 63c | 200,000$126,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,000.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 36c | 189,916$68,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,925.23 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 37c | 159,000$58,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,829.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 37c | 159,000$58,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,829.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 61c | 156,438$95,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,275.31 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 153,335$57,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,092.23 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 38c | 130,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed No | 38c | 85,906$32,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,836.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 38c | 79,632$30,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 39c | 58,800$22,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,932 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 37c | 45,000$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.99 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 62c | 41,562$25,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,860.11 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 39c | 33,528$13,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,075.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 37c | 20,511$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,589.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 61c | 19,048$11,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.63 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 18,922$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.48 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 38c | 14,071$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.64 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 62c | 12,500$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 10,466$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 61c | 10,120$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.8 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 37c | 10,011$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 9,969$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.54 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 63c | 8,800$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.12 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 8,732$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.15 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 7,261$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 6,958$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.17 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 38c | 6,485$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 37c | 5,374$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 4,952$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.15 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 38c | 4,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.94 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 37c | 4,350$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.56 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 39c | 3,777$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 39c | 3,705$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.92 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,440$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 61c | 3,029$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.43 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 37c | 2,900$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 39c | 2,861$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 29c | 2,736$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 37c | 2,324$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 61c | 2,265$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.35 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 71c | 2,103$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 37c | 2,062$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 38c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 36c | 1,944$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 1,870$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 9c | 1,588$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed No | 10c | 1,478$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 1,401$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.45 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed No | 18c | 1,377$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 38c | 1,305$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.89 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed No | 39c | 1,158$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 1,135$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.29 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…1244backed No | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 1,005$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 63c | 998.41$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked No | 40c | 997.48$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 64c | 917.67$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 38c | 883.79$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 40c | 852.62$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 35c | 852.39$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Yes | 62c | 830.19$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…9aadbacked No | 37c | 821$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 37c | 797.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 778.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 31c | 777.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 65c | 766.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 741.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 35c | 733.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 38c | 727.81$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…a528backed No | 39c | 714.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 649.05$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.