NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb74b16851de959b294dfbef9ec28f9855b534eb8619a7db62f7a693341ebe133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 21,005$10,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,405.71 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 45c | 13,826$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.63 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 55c | 11,302$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.9 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 10,100$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 50c | 8,896$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.6 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Over | 48c | 8,739$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 6,910$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 20c | 5,269$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.96 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,507$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 3,209$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 54c | 3,082$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 2,678$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 46c | 2,074$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Over | 46c | 2,010$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 3c | 1,893$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 1,772$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.17 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 1,287$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.03 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Over | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 2c | 985.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 842.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 26c | 685.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 32c | 675$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 68c | 587.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 56c | 559.29$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 45c | 530.87$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 54c | 510$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 37c | 446.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 3c | 415.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 388.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 370.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Under | 53c | 369.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 330.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Over | 50c | 328$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 52c | 317.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 59c | 303.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 289.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…c0d1backed Under | 69c | 286.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 31c | 198$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 54c | 192.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 49c | 185.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 47c | 183$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 73c | 176.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 67c | 153.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 152.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 48c | 150.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Under | 73c | 137.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 46c | 124.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 45c | 100.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 46c | 95.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Over | 46c | 93.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Under | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 90.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 50c | 87.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…f631backed Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 71c | 76.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…9102backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Under | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 41c | 61.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 59.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 54c | 48.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 42c | 47.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.