TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c21,005$10,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,405.7169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over45c13,826$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,221.6312450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under55c11,302$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c10,100$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9661,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c8,896$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.611864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over48c8,739$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.842454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over3c6,910$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over20c5,269$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c4,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.9689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c3,507$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over47c3,209$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5196233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under54c3,082$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c2,678$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.643,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over46c2,074$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.117052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Over46c2,010$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over3c1,893$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.491,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c1,772$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.1764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.5740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c1,287$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over47c999.96$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over2c985.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c842.59$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c685.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over32c675$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9927246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under68c587.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.277953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under56c559.29$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8439864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over45c530.87$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under54c510$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.69652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9629554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c446.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over3c415.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c388.74$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.631,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c370.31$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Under53c369.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c330.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.891,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Over50c328$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under52c317.1$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.215339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under59c303.83$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.34953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c289.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…c0d1backed Under69c286.82$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.82650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.214042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over31c198$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3810149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under54c192.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over49c185.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9123652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over47c183$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.017451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under73c176.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under67c153.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over9c152.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over48c150.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2819445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b569backed Under73c137.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.174864.6%31 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over46c124.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.377243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.116456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2625360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Under54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.855058%29 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over45c100.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.234456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over46c95.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Over46c93.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12737%10 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Under56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.862240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.953357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over19c90.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0762047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over50c87.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1210847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under71c76.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.155347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed5a…9102backed Over47c70.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Under56c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.042962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under56c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.042437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Under54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.363551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over41c61.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.341,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c59.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under54c48.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5521056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over42c47.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.311850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.