TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc61d…3933backed Yes54c2,169$1,175 inLost-$1,174.9917047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c1,295$598 inWon+$696.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No46c844.98$389 inWon+$456.291,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes53c499.99$265 inLost-$264.995347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No47c400.17$188 inWon+$212.0976247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost-$20030055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No48c330.57$158 inWon+$172.8824949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24f…71a3backed No46c326.09$150 inWon+$176.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No47c300$141 inWon+$15956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5c…0bdebacked Yes52c299.99$156 inLost-$15620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost-$1064738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed No47c197.79$93 inWon+$104.835339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Yes50c122.08$61 inLost-$61.081050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked Yes54c114.81$62 inLost-$621258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked No47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.389046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No47c106.28$50 inWon+$56.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No50c100$50 inWon+$5037755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No47c80$38 inWon+$42.443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No47c76.59$36 inWon+$40.5940546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No65c44.16$29 inWon+$15.3721056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked No46c43.26$20 inWon+$23.366942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.6766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c18…79f4backed No46c32.61$15 inWon+$17.612751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost-$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No47c28.3$13 inWon+$1519352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes56c20$11 inLost-$11.113764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No50c20$10 inWon+$1031748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.