Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7441709701cfa758916ae253e0a16510a8b42b5f165f58bfd8266d1b11558797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $716,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $754,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76be…120ebacked No | 29c | 104,834$30,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,432.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 74,865$53,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,869.18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 34c | 50,003$16,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,151.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 39,972$11,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,513.75 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 28c | 34,485$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,829.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 28c | 33,370$9,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,060.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 71c | 31,181$22,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,138.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +476.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 28c | 22,579$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,290.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 20,839$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,004.18 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 17,347$11,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,743.5 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 28c | 17,250$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 64c | 17,089$10,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,973.7 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Yes | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 12,779$9,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,108.54 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 57c | 10,429$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…5080backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 28c | 9,724$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 28c | 8,582$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 71c | 8,445$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 28c | 8,072$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 7,931$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.68 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 71c | 7,166$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 71c | 6,919$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 62c | 6,524$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 67c | 6,098$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 28c | 5,586$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 28c | 5,551$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.53 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 29c | 5,100$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 5,093$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 4,662$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 72c | 4,586$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes | 61c | 4,340$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 28c | 4,202$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 27c | 4,110$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 3,560$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.03 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes | 62c | 3,145$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 28c | 3,141$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 28c | 3,072$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 28c | 2,980$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 2,858$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.1 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 72c | 2,839$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.08 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 15c | 2,819$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 28c | 2,804$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 2,649$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.25 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…9adabacked No | 29c | 2,617$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 71c | 2,396$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…cafebacked No | 29c | 2,391$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 28c | 2,346$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +116%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 2,269$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.68 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,150$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,118$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.97 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 72c | 2,017$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3b…83fcbacked Yes | 71c | 1,971$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 71c | 1,964$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…2016backed Yes | 71c | 1,935$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 72c | 1,908$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.55 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 27c | 1,768$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 70c | 1,750$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,743$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.95 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 46c | 1,742$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.79 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 71c | 1,725$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.34 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 65c | 1,702$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 62c | 1,700$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 42c | 1,695$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.32 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,687$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 47c | 1,645$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.52 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 1,538$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.94 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 71c | 1,538$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.98 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 60c | 1,457$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 28c | 1,420$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 71c | 1,218$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 64c | 1,148$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 28c | 1,120$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.06 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Yes | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…9040backed Yes | 71c | 1,102$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,100$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 50c | 1,049$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,035$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,010$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 74c | 1,003$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes | 1c | 1,002$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…263dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 20c | 982.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 71c | 926.06$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 67c | 898.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 71c | 887.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 855.41$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 851.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.71 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.