TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a66…48c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5570.9%39 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.29
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$22.07
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tienbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$22.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$17.68
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$23.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$103.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.56
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$18.82
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$33.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.83
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.46
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+189.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.