Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98888851f0f0f24ba82294eb9bb8353deb5a94c544eeafef8a194980e902c783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 7,179$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.82 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Yes | 63c | 4,792$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…997abacked Yes | 63c | 3,300$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 62c | 2,830$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 2,492$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 33c | 2,351$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.71 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 2,074$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 1,909$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.57 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,597$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 1,536$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,081$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 38c | 1,059$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 1,043$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 940.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 63c | 873.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 813.45$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 78c | 641.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.73 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 63c | 634.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 62c | 600.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 10c | 583.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 558.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 506$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Yes | 63c | 471.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 37c | 470.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 62c | 423.14$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 39c | 366.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 39c | 366.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 39c | 366.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 39c | 366.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 342.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 327.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 327.09$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 272.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 64c | 265.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…7135backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 227.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…0f30backed Yes | 63c | 209.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 178.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 176.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 36c | 176.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…20d8backed Yes | 63c | 165.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 37c | 164.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…2a0abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 63c | 140.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 26c | 133.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 39c | 129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 62c | 126.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 64c | 118.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 110.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 36c | 70.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…2639backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 38c | 51.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 45.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 38c | 42.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 42.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 30c | 40.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 75c | 40.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 38c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Yes | 64c | 35.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 39c | 34.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 39c | 31.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 68c | 29.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 38c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.