TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Over58c120,748$70,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,583.563234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over51c80,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,199.9724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under42c69,485$28,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,915.496857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under48c53,639$25,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,960.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under45c47,720$21,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,665.693243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under49c20,040$9,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,819.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under43c14,386$6,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,252.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c13,096$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c12,735$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.8717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over52c9,338$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.4611349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c8,768$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f5…348fbacked Over58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under34c8,493$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.063426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under49c7,755$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.0514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under46c7,220$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.382065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c7,208$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.484,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under49c6,176$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under42c5,791$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over59c5,692$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.612,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Over58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over52c4,856$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.8813630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c4,852$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.151,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…fbe5backed Under42c4,053$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under56c3,450$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.437342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under43c3,380$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.5315255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under46c3,195$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.392653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over39c3,100$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.933545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over52c2,914$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5334628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under42c2,896$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.1514158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over51c2,823$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.012157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,223$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.4177342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over52c2,143$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.612347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over71c2,125$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.5427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over67c2,045$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3acc…a8f0backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over54c1,998$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Over57c1,966$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.263250%16 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under65c1,947$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2735954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over58c1,916$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…3578backed Under1c1,881$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.497145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over58c1,858$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.654841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c1,792$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.9811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over52c1,768$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.443953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c1,708$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.552,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.897847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Over59c1,648$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c1,637$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.1327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over53c1,448$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.069055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over52c1,362$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over69c1,321$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.613767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over57c1,294$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.441,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c1,287$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.3821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under42c1,272$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c1,272$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under42c1,272$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Over56c1,264$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.251631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c1,165$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under47c1,124$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1112157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.98950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c1,081$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.8550450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under31c1,030$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under42c1,009$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.812334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a42…3d14backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c989.76$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50414138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5919235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.18065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c965.8$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under43c965.8$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2914459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over57c965.73$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.262250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.272378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over65c908.15$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.581,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over51c873.54$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.039150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under42c868.68$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8514355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c849.16$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under42c794.94$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.882040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under46c774.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under51c766.34$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over68c751$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.329660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea1…3183backed Under50c748.86$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…03ddbacked Over52c747.06$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.591957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c742.56$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4560445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce07…dac4backed Under50c741.91$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under42c741.32$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under34c695.33$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.412138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over17c659.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713e…f595backed Over55c610.35$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.661855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…cd7dbacked Under41c599.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under42c589.61$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under44c579.84$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1410960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c574.08$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c500.37$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.931,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.