TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7002…395cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC35c7,209$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,671.731540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC60c2,513$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC59c2,384$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC19c1,536$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.11,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC45c1,477$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.642,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chelsea FC80c733.94$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.152,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC18c672.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC66c534.55$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.621,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC20c406.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8820545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chelsea FC80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32055751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Chelsea FC20c338.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5211324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Chelsea FC23c293.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.753444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chelsea FC20c259.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7251516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Chelsea FC60c248.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.238047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Chelsea FC24c226.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.064542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chelsea FC61c221$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8148950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Chelsea FC20c190.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.358219.5%16 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC20c190.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3210221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC43c171.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.932138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC44c162.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.024946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC25c139.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.543630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Chelsea FC58c132.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.014940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC19c125.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.43129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.344951%25 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Chelsea FC18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9912250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC20c95.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.165433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Chelsea FC56c89.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aab…9765backed Chelsea FC26c86.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC20c80.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.742825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Chelsea FC60c79.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9310554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chelsea FC59c73.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.081,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Chelsea FC61c64.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Chelsea FC57c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Chelsea FC36c58.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x355b…b291backed Chelsea FC58c58.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC25c57.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9728633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Chelsea FC61c48.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4528456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Chelsea FC80c47.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.945855.2%32 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC39c46.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC38c39.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Chelsea FC80c34.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.269152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Chelsea FC58c33.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Chelsea FC58c33.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1613748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe15…602dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC74c30.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f1…3e81backed Chelsea FC64c30.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…bbe6backed Chelsea FC64c29.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Chelsea FC59c28.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Chelsea FC60c25.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5418961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Chelsea FC62c25.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Chelsea FC80c22.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC74c18.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e9…6743backed Chelsea FC58c18.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Chelsea FC80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.