Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580cc00d2750b101559a333a35e95d232ae6474b8dca2242e3d81b0f68b33554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 5,714$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.15 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 4,027$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.16 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 14c | 1,152$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 11c | 1,041$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 1,033$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 17c | 570.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 523.93$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 78c | 493.4$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 18c | 454.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 74c | 412.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 7c | 260.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 7c | 229.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 25c | 200.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 20c | 163.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 17c | 109.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 77c | 108.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 19c | 106.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 75c | 91.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 17c | 88.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 20c | 84.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 17c | 83.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 83.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Over | 22c | 77.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 68c | 68.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 20c | 61.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 19c | 58.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 41.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 77c | 29.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…269dbacked Under | 80c | 18.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.