Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d524b5e3401d5b0d64608ebfb893fad42b5c75671ad7ef0446ad7e5e2661029

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	22c	8,353$1,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,808.37	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over	78c	6,293$4,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.43	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under	1c	2,172$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	19c	2,158$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.83	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	22c	1,744$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.55	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	21c	1,508$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.59	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	21c	1,465$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.48	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over	76c	1,426$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.23	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.19per pick	60cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	15c	1,316$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.32	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over	79c	1,250$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.47	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	90	55.6%50 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over	77c	846.49$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.69	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3977…b0b7backed Over	78c	745.03$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.91	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under	7c	674.42$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+115%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	20c	637.01$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.43	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	20c	524.35$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.95	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	9c	472.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	23c	425.39$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.84	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over	77c	384.23$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.37	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over	77c	384.23$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.37	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	64cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over	77c	384.23$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.37	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	78c	276.99$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.94	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over	78c	253.03$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.67	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Over	78c	253.03$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.67	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5184…a654backed Over	80c	247$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Under	10c	245.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+130.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	15c	234.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	113	24.8%28 W · 85 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	23c	233.33$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.98	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	22c	223$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	23c	207.35$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…0de5backed Over	77c	206.12$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Over	80c	176.39$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.39	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	22c	155.75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.27	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over	78c	155.61$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.23	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	80c	138.32$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.66	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	23c	133$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over	79c	128.36$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	75cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	78c	126.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over	80c	124.29$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.86	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba27…3f88backed Under	20c	119.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+175.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Under	25c	118$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	21c	105.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	77c	102.55$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	78c	101.21$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.27	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	189	63%119 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	22c	99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	11c	94.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+5.5wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aab…9765backed Under	18c	89.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under	23c	78.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	189	61.9%117 W · 72 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over	77c	64.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under	23c	63.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Over	78c	62.39$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	64cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under	24c	53.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	20c	50.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	24c	48.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	78c	39.47$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.68	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over	77c	38.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Over	78c	37.48$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over	77c	32.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	71cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Over	78c	29.6$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.51	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	-8.2wins	-0.14per pick	75cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc015…329bbacked Over	78c	29.6$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Over	77c	25.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	77c	25.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over	78c	22.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.05	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	64cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ec2…ccadbacked Over	80c	19.76$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc8…7309backed Over	76c	19.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	73cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…aab9backed Over	77c	19.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Over	79c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.94	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	78c	18.09$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6c…e22bbacked Over	79c	17.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.73	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…193cbacked Over	77c	14.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.41	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over	79c	13.87$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.91	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	271	73.8%200 W · 71 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	76cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event