TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cc3…aab9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Aix en Provence: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yibing Wubacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.67
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.56
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.75
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MODUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.