TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,822,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,811,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,822,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes70c492,980$346,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346,406.261258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No28c320,000$88,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,288.929028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c243,282$123,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,867.954,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c179,569$129,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,470.835058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No30c153,250$45,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,265.46145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes73c127,545$93,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,498.329640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked No27c120,000$32,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,249.822969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No30c106,048$31,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,762.855242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No29c100,722$29,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,439.453138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes69c100,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,999.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c98,141$72,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,437.8550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No31c94,936$29,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,246.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c94,710$38,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,105.25940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No27c82,864$22,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,405.781,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No28c82,845$23,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,648.591533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No29c76,208$22,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,100.1610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No30c66,997$19,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,157.515950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes37c66,965$25,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,001.296832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes72c65,816$47,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,387.3110438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Yes72c65,278$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No28c59,498$16,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,838.457455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No28c53,287$14,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,411.195152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes72c49,999$35,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,856.085964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c49,236$13,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,815.487321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No26c45,599$12,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,524.6116740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c45,556$26,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,562.541,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No26c45,385$11,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,388.732147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No29c45,301$13,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,112.713941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes53c45,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.96955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No66c43,867$28,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,914.8710948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No31c43,399$13,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,945.563240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes71c42,253$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,999.634548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No28c36,541$10,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,309.695831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes72c34,722$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No28c34,444$9,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,799.548828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c34,086$9,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,4842,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c32,721$20,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,423.7260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c31,799$19,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,959.931,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Yes65c31,510$20,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,440475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No30c31,495$9,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,046.475442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes71c31,327$22,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,283.6620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No28c26,909$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,374.376357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes68c25,906$17,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,616.189536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8231…04f0backed Yes70c25,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No30c24,480$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,135.942951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes45c24,424$10,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,921.954141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No29c23,715$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,876.962445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c22,637$6,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,524.937922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No37c21,870$8,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,778.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No25c21,433$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,970.923647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No31c20,972$6,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,470.921020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes72c20,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4005040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes71c20,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No26c20,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,799.672544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No47c17,704$8,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,439.1524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed Yes72c17,354$12,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,4951258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No29c16,254$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,587.476243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes76c15,928$12,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,031.315453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c15,918$10,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.163,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes72c15,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes71c14,045$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,994.7650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes72c13,592$9,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,786.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes72c13,313$9,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,585.412634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes72c13,263$9,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,555.0515646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c12,186$6,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,455.4869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No29c12,069$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,568.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes70c12,000$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,360.042035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No28c11,220$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,027.1212152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes18c11,021$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes70c11,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,700714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fa6…1b13backed Yes70c10,728$7,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,509.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes34c10,565$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,582.560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed No29c10,345$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,344.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No26c10,200$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,547.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes72c10,134$7,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No28c10,007$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,205.145232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+110.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1005757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.7613046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No25c9,990$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,492.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No30c9,960$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,970.63444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No28c9,893$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,122.862133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes72c9,722$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No26c9,492$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,031.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes24c9,244$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.4512553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No46c9,193$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.746538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c9,179$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.79777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes37c9,124$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes71c8,749$6,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,208.5364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No29c8,590$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,098.662040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No30c8,137$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.96346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes71c8,000$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7107349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed No29c8,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6801080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No55c7,844$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.0612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes32c7,690$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.622050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes13c7,604$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes0c7,513$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.054216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.