Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a7611f6a7a7995c388e8550ad045b8c0c5358966b7c65054dce429d80c3469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Chelsea FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 18c | 3,508$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Chelsea FC | 71c | 2,499$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 8c | 1,949$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 1,788$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.41 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 15c | 1,128$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.81 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 7c | 479.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 8c | 342.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.09 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Chelsea FC | 76c | 282.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.66 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 12c | 259.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 77c | 240.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 7c | 179.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.29 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 159.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 16c | 157.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 18c | 156.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 20c | 148.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 132.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 15c | 127.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 18c | 119.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 14c | 118.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 16c | 99.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 98.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Chelsea FC | 76c | 89.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…b6e6backed Chelsea FC | 71c | 79.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 35c | 37.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Chelsea FC | 78c | 26.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 19.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.