TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x713e…f595

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.74
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.68
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$274.66
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$169.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$350.29
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.95
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+62%+$167.32
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51%+$175.95
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$147.45
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125.16
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+68.1%+$299.87
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$154.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$440.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$489.95
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.53
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.66
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.63
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$50.16
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$249.57
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.69
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+57%+$211.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-63.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (W)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$14.49
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$87.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$249.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+64.4%+$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$160.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.