Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ea66be3c44050f72005f6e7c490e7b88da23483fcb786fb63b0b675631199e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Massachusetts Minutemen, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bowling Green Falcons | 35c | 2,356$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 65c | 1,713$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.01 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 5c | 1,385$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 36c | 1,054$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.99 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bowling Green Falcons | 67c | 1,030$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 915.87$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 34c | 870.27$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 63c | 796.68$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 30c | 732.76$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 638.77$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 34c | 583.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 548.37$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 538.93$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 39c | 504.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 33c | 361.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 298.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 34c | 298.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 229.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 228.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 225.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 67c | 206$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 64c | 154.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 150.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 32c | 138.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 44c | 124.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 64c | 121.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 33c | 107.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 66c | 107.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 35c | 105.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 37c | 99.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 72c | 99.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 99.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Bowling Green Falcons | 33c | 99.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 37c | 93.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 34c | 91.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 80.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 33c | 73.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 67c | 73.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 35c | 73.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 66.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 36c | 65.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 36c | 64.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 34c | 60.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 37c | 59.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 55.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 49.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 44.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 32c | 41.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Bowling Green Falcons | 66c | 28.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bowling Green Falcons | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Bowling Green Falconsthis page
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-4.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.