MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91404f97d413227d2aa3194b488e1493e1578bb387ab5306b8a3ebb268cda39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago Cubs, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 16,477$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.86 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 11,773$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 9,834$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.4 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 9,447$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.71 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 6,786$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.76 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 5,937$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.83 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 5,816$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.36 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 5,048$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 4,650$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 4,248$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 4,049$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,991$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,938$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.54 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,874$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.54 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 3,804$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.26 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,677$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.27 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,329$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.01 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,894$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.12 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,829$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,391$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,301$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,154$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.54 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,086$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.71 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,932$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,782$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,660$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.02 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa71…0893backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 1,567$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,317$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.88 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,022$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 983.15$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 891.06$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…88c3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 766.46$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 720.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 715.82$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 714.74$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago Cubs | 22c | 689.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 685.08$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 681.49$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 662.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 636.37$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 634.21$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.73 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 576.1$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 558.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 539.87$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 535.4$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 527$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 519.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 511.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 492.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 459.61$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 449.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 397.01$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 375.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 366.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 364.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 354.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 350.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 346.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 311.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 307.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 301.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…29e2backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 296.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 293.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 292.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 268.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 267.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 258.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 256.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 233.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 208.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 204.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 201.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 199.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 193.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 190.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 190.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 189.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…3711backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 182.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 162.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 161.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 159.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 156.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 152.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 148.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.