Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976eedcf0370a39f729ea095ecb8a9333690bf5f8aafbec4a11ecd491dd13512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,430 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 37,858$11,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,639.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 67c | 17,966$12,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,064.83 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…82e4backed Over | 80c | 12,774$10,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,219.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 12,747$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.69 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 67c | 8,150$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 33c | 3,949$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.88 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 76c | 3,629$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 3,546$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.35 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,003$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 35c | 2,599$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 65c | 2,499$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 58c | 2,498$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 49c | 2,307$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 78c | 2,057$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 70c | 1,693$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 66c | 1,503$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…64cdbacked Over | 67c | 1,481$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 67c | 1,481$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 67c | 1,476$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.29 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 69c | 1,453$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…9688backed Over | 78c | 1,298$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Over | 66c | 1,269$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 56c | 1,250$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 33c | 1,232$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.45 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 33c | 1,223$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.41 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 66c | 1,211$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 32c | 1,173$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.92 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 60c | 1,014$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.26 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 974.47$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.6 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 67c | 842.68$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 764.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 67c | 740.49$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 50c | 699.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 52c | 669.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 31c | 620.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 596.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Over | 68c | 488.94$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Over | 65c | 483.83$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 373.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 373.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 46c | 340.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 21c | 338.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 333.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 322.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 318.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 14c | 292.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 68c | 291.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 29c | 288.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 35c | 273.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 267.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 23c | 264.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 37c | 256.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 33c | 240.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Over | 65c | 237.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 67c | 223.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 199.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 199.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 196.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 65c | 188.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 65c | 188.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 30c | 181.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 34c | 174.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 157.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 65c | 153.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Under | 66c | 150.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…37e7backed Over | 66c | 150.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 67c | 148.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 67c | 148.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Over | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Over | 77c | 141.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 128.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…5e58backed Over | 23c | 125.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 34c | 117.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 116.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 110.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Over | 66c | 106$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 34c | 104.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…a340backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…d1cfbacked Over | 79c | 99.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…63b3backed Over | 65c | 99.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 58c | 99.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 32c | 95.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 17c | 93.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 65c | 91.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 62c | 89.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 88.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 85.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 83.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…c63cbacked Under | 32c | 77.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.