Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00124de14836abbf1e1d62706efa239200c8ae3f8bcb47558af842f69e76c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,248 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 39c | 48,348$19,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,073.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Under | 60c | 23,523$14,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,409.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 22,714$13,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954.84 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 12,891$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.32 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 12,218$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.95 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 39c | 9,591$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.69 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 53c | 7,896$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 5,920$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 47c | 5,196$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…94bfbacked Under | 61c | 4,992$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 4,546$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 61c | 3,902$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 60c | 2,569$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 61c | 2,489$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 40c | 2,479$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 60c | 2,479$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 63c | 2,331$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 40c | 1,735$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.12 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Under | 64c | 1,556$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 61c | 1,540$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 39c | 1,271$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.84 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 1,250$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.48 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 27c | 1,146$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 29c | 1,123$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 39c | 991.67$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 953.14$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 925.95$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 826.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 42c | 790.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 21c | 716.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 35c | 711.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 704.29$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 58c | 633.12$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.21 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 632.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 40c | 619.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 553.07$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 58c | 525.36$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 517.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 495.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 495.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 467.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 43c | 457.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 63c | 409.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 48c | 405.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over | 41c | 399.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Under | 63c | 396.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 59c | 381.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 56c | 370$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 40c | 362.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 33c | 360.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 353.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 75c | 331.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 330.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Under | 61c | 325.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 40c | 309.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 21c | 288.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 41c | 287.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 286.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 25c | 269.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 38c | 260.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 56c | 255.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…0b5cbacked Over | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 39c | 238$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 60c | 218.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 59c | 201.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Over | 40c | 199.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 39c | 195.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 61c | 185.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 60c | 165.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 62c | 161.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Under | 71c | 139.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 61c | 139$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 39c | 128.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Over | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 40c | 118.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 108.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 60c | 108.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Over | 39c | 104.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 59c | 100.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 100.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.