Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0399f35a48c31ca46a66bcec2fc369142ee44ba1832115f74a095a0c973dccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,430 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 62c | 8,064$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 44c | 5,443$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 4,346$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 2,687$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.89 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 45c | 2,215$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.35 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 37c | 1,971$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.84 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 55c | 961.43$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 56c | 828.05$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked No | 50c | 698$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 667.66$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 663.03$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 42c | 580$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 57c | 504.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 58c | 495.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 444.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 392.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.69 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 24c | 327.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 24c | 318.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 51c | 272.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed No | 57c | 242.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 237.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 43c | 233.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 43c | 230.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Yes | 43c | 230.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed No | 59c | 210.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed No | 59c | 193.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked No | 58c | 170.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked No | 72c | 137.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 129.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 39c | 128.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 107.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 55c | 98.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 58c | 98.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 44c | 92.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 90.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 57c | 85.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 40c | 77.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 59c | 73.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1ab3backed Yes | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 55c | 68.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 43c | 59.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 34c | 57.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed No | 58c | 51.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 43c | 50.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 50.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 49.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 22c | 48.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 57c | 45.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 40c | 44.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…52dfbacked Yes | 45c | 41.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 38.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked Yes | 43c | 34.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 77c | 33.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 40c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 58c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 57c | 26.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 51c | 25.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 42c | 25.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 57c | 24.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 43c | 23.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed No | 58c | 19.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed No | 66c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.