TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f21…d644

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$399.27
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.88
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,200.57
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.07
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.83
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.02
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.46
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,154.1
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$867.4
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,001.29
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$208.87
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+41.8%+$76.99
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.64
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.8
Partizan vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$67.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.1%+$147.34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$942.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.51
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$191.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$210.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$155.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$81.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.