TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,782 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f09…9312backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c9,719$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.283345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Real Madrid52c2,226$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Real Madrid48c2,133$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.7712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas51c1,952$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Real Madrid51c1,178$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid48c1,128$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4454251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid35c1,015$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Real Madrid51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Zalgiris Kaunas50c865.17$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Real Madrid51c816.57$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.361844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Zalgiris Kaunas59c765.85$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Real Madrid52c720$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed Real Madrid50c657.69$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Real Madrid46c652.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Zalgiris Kaunas48c622.2$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Real Madrid50c609.37$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4113147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…7ae4backed Real Madrid63c557.35$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid49c472.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6527557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Real Madrid50c445.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1335234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid45c420.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3128943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas52c310.18$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Real Madrid46c309.84$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…d644backed Real Madrid61c296.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Zalgiris Kaunas51c260.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb32…787dbacked Real Madrid45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Real Madrid48c207.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Real Madrid63c206.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Real Madrid52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Zalgiris Kaunas47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.999756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Real Madrid56c199.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Real Madrid51c196.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Real Madrid52c192.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Real Madrid16c191.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas46c185.35$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.822060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Zalgiris Kaunas49c182.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c176.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.164136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Real Madrid51c156.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…968ebacked Real Madrid51c148.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid34c134.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1714542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Real Madrid51c128$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87eb…456ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas52c125.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas48c121.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4712042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Zalgiris Kaunas59c112.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.072462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Zalgiris Kaunas48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Real Madrid57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.989746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Real Madrid51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Zalgiris Kaunas50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+66.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Real Madrid51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas51c97.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid40c94.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6136939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Real Madrid53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Real Madrid52c82.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0913235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7697…eaa2backed Zalgiris Kaunas41c80.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Real Madrid50c79.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Zalgiris Kaunas51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.438256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas49c73.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…b94abacked Zalgiris Kaunas52c70.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Real Madrid59c70.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Real Madrid42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9320936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Real Madrid51c59.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed Real Madrid51c58.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.266055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…0140backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c56.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…ed41backed Real Madrid58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c70…2523backed Zalgiris Kaunas50c50.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Zalgiris Kaunas49c50.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas49c49.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.252343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c6d…89c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas49c46.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4731446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Real Madrid53c43.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid53c43.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7721444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Real Madrid52c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zalgiris Kaunas43c41.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed Real Madrid49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Real Madrid36c40.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.651181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabdd…4f81backed Real Madrid51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Real Madrid56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…c102backed Real Madrid59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Real Madrid55c32.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.143545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Real Madrid49c32.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9711635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Zalgiris Kaunas47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9426935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Real Madrid50c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Real Madrid49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a68…213ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas52c28.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7736…2b3abacked Zalgiris Kaunas63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Zalgiris Kaunas38c28.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8978…134dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas50c26.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Zalgiris Kaunas51c25.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…42f7backed Real Madrid51c23.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Real Madrid51c22.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6510050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Zalgiris Kaunas47c21.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35b2…1cefbacked Real Madrid51c21.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Real Madrid52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.927247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48b…f4a7backed Zalgiris Kaunas50c20.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0360…be31backed Zalgiris Kaunas50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd4…394abacked Real Madrid50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Zalgiris Kaunas59c18.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.593151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.