TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87eb…456e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$7.38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$18.27
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$8.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$11.68
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40%+$9.31
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.07
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$50.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.31
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$7.12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$4.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$7.04
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.61
LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$35.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$26.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$15.18
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$60.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$43.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked TrinitY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.