NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e409213217cae415a96ae76e4b145e879800a724ae75c132d00bda3fb8b87f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,750 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…6edcbacked Over | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…b155backed Over | 50c | 6,600$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 5,803$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Over | 51c | 4,755$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 4,037$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.68 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,603$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 3,070$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 52c | 2,708$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.84 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 2,638$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…c834backed Over | 50c | 2,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 70c | 1,866$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.48 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 51c | 1,843$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.84 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 80c | 1,417$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,337$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…e6c1backed Over | 50c | 1,043$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 992.97$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 982.15$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 766.91$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 713$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 640.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 22c | 640.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 598.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Under | 67c | 471.23$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 452.94$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 41c | 406.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 79c | 394.75$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 380.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 77c | 328.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 308.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 50c | 299.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 282.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 6c | 225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 47c | 167.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 147.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 135.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 33c | 110.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 105.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 95.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 68c | 79.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 49c | 75.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 17c | 70.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 60.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Under | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 75c | 52.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 51.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 38c | 49.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 43.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…9a33backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 66c | 40.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 56c | 39.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…03a5backed Under | 48c | 31.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Under | 37c | 29.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…456ebacked Over | 72c | 25.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 53c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 53c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…4b61backed Under | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.