NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67eaa170342fa3854a1fe2b1a5f024d3821fb45bd713cedbbd6742c08302c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $734,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,310 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Spurs | 53c | 295,975$156,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,108.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Heat | 47c | 166,133$78,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,082.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 54c | 58,175$31,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,414.55 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs | 46c | 55,428$25,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,931.1 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 54c | 55,231$29,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,824.67 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 45c | 29,327$13,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,019.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 50c | 20,463$10,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Spurs | 46c | 18,510$8,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…b77abacked Heat | 47c | 16,834$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,911.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 46c | 14,704$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,960.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 51c | 14,064$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172.88 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Heat | 49c | 13,179$6,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.93 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…ef68backed Heat | 47c | 12,010$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs | 49c | 12,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs | 46c | 11,096$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,991.65 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…9928backed Heat | 47c | 10,767$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a7eabacked Heat | 47c | 10,682$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Spurs | 51c | 10,588$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.24 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c9e5backed Heat | 47c | 10,506$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Heat | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…3526backed Heat | 47c | 9,192$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 51c | 7,092$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs | 49c | 6,900$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.97 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…4ac5backed Heat | 47c | 6,387$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Spurs | 46c | 6,105$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.7 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4ac6backed Heat | 47c | 5,531$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…0ecabacked Heat | 47c | 5,105$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…2555backed Heat | 47c | 4,880$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…0d88backed Heat | 47c | 4,711$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…3df7backed Heat | 47c | 4,637$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a8ddbacked Heat | 47c | 4,058$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…bb63backed Heat | 47c | 4,035$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…3436backed Heat | 47c | 3,808$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…7cf7backed Heat | 47c | 3,805$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…1bb3backed Heat | 47c | 3,718$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,686$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 54c | 3,548$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.71 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 14c | 3,494$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Spurs | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 49c | 3,005$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.27 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 48c | 2,960$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.45 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 55c | 2,614$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 50c | 2,580$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…c13fbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…4634backed Heat | 47c | 2,503$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…20babacked Spurs | 49c | 2,456$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…7671backed Heat | 47c | 2,418$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 50c | 2,413$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.64 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…c615backed Spurs | 49c | 2,413$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…910ebacked Heat | 51c | 2,388$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…43b2backed Heat | 51c | 2,269$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…2038backed Heat | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…b19abacked Spurs | 49c | 2,223$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…0314backed Heat | 51c | 2,171$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…7fe8backed Heat | 51c | 2,158$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…7979backed Heat | 51c | 2,088$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…af86backed Heat | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…3d84backed Spurs | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…7ca0backed Spurs | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Heat | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…c29bbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,677$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat | 55c | 1,656$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…93bfbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 50c | 1,600$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacaa…f1f0backed Heat | 51c | 1,409$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,353$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…baf6backed Heat | 47c | 1,299$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Heat | 52c | 1,025$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Heat | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Spurs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Heat | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Spurs | 46c | 975.65$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.85 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Spurs | 50c | 957.16$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.58 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 55c | 893$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Spurs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…8bdcbacked Spurs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…91a2backed Heat | 47c | 537$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 57c | 523.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…0b6ebacked Spurs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Heat | 55c | 484.7$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.48 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Heat | 55c | 461.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 52c | 455.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Heat | 48c | 455.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Spurs | 56c | 441.27$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 51c | 433.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Heat | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Heat | 55c | 400.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 48c | 399.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…249cbacked Spurs | 51c | 368.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 61c | 326.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Heat | 48c | 325.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Heat | 54c | 324.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Spurs | 51c | 314.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Heat | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.