NBA · resolved market
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7184897561a6c89be75b0a0b06f241528bf0b3cc3f26e03ca0eb32c48a34fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 33c | 1,651$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.49 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 1,128$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…195ebacked Yes | 30c | 999.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 44c | 915.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa959…6a33backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 67c | 541.03$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.4 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Yes | 32c | 518.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.03 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Yes | 43c | 396.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…4aefbacked Yes | 29c | 322.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 61c | 183$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 129.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6005…8b26backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…570fbacked Yes | 31c | 79.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 60c | 75.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes | 41c | 45.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 46c | 42.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked No | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 67c | 20.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.