NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a46febee26f211048b2312c4c7436fbb54707e1bf35fc1e1e0ebe27ef3fe17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,269 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 49c | 11,162$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.74 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 49c | 9,162$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.62 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 49c | 8,455$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.74 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…0f12backed Over | 50c | 8,443$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 50c | 7,600$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 4,720$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 4,297$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 51c | 4,085$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.66 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 4,082$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 3,047$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Over | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,660$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 50c | 2,627$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 2,312$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.24 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under | 50c | 1,988$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,875$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,749$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,746$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 51c | 1,560$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.63 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 47c | 1,482$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.63 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 1,118$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 981.48$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 48c | 829.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.08 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 49c | 822.08$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.08 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked Under | 55c | 733.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 660$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 602$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 568.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 554.61$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 553.88$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 73c | 449.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 422$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 411$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 356$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Under | 61c | 331.15$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 39c | 329.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 318.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 50c | 226.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…ed41backed Under | 46c | 219.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 172.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 49c | 150.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 48c | 139$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 32c | 136.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 135.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 134.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 55c | 124.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 109.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 109.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Under | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 42c | 81.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 35c | 74.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…5a21backed Over | 50c | 64.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 53c | 60.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 51c | 59.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 55c | 58.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 50c | 58.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…7ff5backed Under | 29c | 57.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…2cc5backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 50c | 41.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 51c | 41.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 51c | 39.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 51c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Under | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 55c | 37.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 50c | 36.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 32.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.