NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a82b3c57b1b4919abab28420176df2133c6cde27af8543b712cd9dfb7d3171c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,594 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 47c | 226,427$106,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,006.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 53c | 166,420$88,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,313.01 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Heat | 60c | 56,073$33,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,750 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Heat | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 45c | 39,166$17,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,541.18 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Spurs | 48c | 30,001$14,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,641.57 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 53c | 26,000$13,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,801.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 41c | 24,100$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.98 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 53c | 18,709$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,915.77 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 51c | 13,604$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heat | 53c | 10,133$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370.75 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 43c | 8,954$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.84 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Heat | 56c | 8,878$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 43c | 8,233$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 47c | 7,736$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.21 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 57c | 6,124$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.51 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Heat | 59c | 6,098$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 58c | 5,108$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…d471backed Spurs | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat | 58c | 4,577$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.66 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 53c | 4,306$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.18 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.98 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 56c | 3,767$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.96 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Spurs | 45c | 3,371$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.17 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 40c | 3,309$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 44c | 3,014$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Heat | 58c | 2,880$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.4 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Heat | 54c | 2,769$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 53c | 2,260$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.87 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebec…6bcbbacked Heat | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat | 58c | 1,926$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.18 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Heat | 51c | 1,800$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.67 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 54c | 1,708$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,661$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.22 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,517$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb562…6663backed Heat | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd587…1d7dbacked Heat | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Heat | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 40c | 1,401$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Heat | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Spurs | 45c | 1,101$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.61 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,034$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Spurs | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 6c | 934.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 44c | 921.83$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Heat | 57c | 880.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heat | 58c | 862.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Heat | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs | 47c | 839.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.73 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Spurs | 45c | 795.56$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 47c | 790.65$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.71 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 47c | 773.37$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Heat | 54c | 724.57$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Heat | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Spurs | 46c | 685.95$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.41 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 53c | 674.3$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 41c | 650.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 51c | 647.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.35 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Heat | 7c | 625.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Spurs | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Spurs | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Heat | 52c | 553.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Heat | 55c | 541.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…95e3backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 54c | 492.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…31cbbacked Heat | 47c | 456.8$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Heat | 54c | 434.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs | 49c | 409.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 45c | 393.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Heat | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Heat | 59c | 370.85$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spurs | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 44c | 345.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Heat | 50c | 342.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Spurs | 45c | 301.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Heat | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Heat | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 45c | 282.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked Spurs | 46c | 277.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Spurs | 47c | 271.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 55c | 260.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Heat | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Heat | 58c | 256.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Heat | 55c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 57c | 247$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Spurs | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Spurs | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.