NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1745319c9ef1e4c73b9c942fbb615990d05dfd9972b987419add5983dab62dc2

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Heat
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,607,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,607,866 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb6d6…be17backed Spurs	65c	613,655$401,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212,342.92	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	40c	562,544$223,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223,462.17	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	36c	552,475$197,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,709.68	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs	64c	407,150$262,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144,665.68	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Heat	0c	375,119$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.12	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs	60c	300,000$180,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120,000	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	38c	182,836$70,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,004.78	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	38c	146,900$55,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,640.67	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs	60c	100,000$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,999.99	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat	40c	100,000$40,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,999.98	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Heat	1c	98,824$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.33	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs	62c	88,058$54,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,483.14	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Heat	7c	85,932$6,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,015.24	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	23c	71,387$16,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,229.1	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs	63c	65,674$41,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,471.35	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Spurs	67c	61,774$41,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,586.37	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	25c	57,703$14,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,661.72	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Spurs	65c	51,363$33,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,865.96	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…a321backed Heat	41c	50,000$20,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,500	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Spurs	65c	49,981$32,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,493.29	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Heat	38c	41,445$15,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,749.13	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Heat	0c	35,652$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Spurs	60c	34,301$20,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,606.5	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Heat	32c	34,002$10,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,804.2	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	40c	31,886$12,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,754.25	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Heat	40c	30,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spurs	60c	29,147$17,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,658.78	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Heat	37c	28,596$10,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,503.69	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Heat	36c	27,832$10,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,019.52	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs	77c	26,640$20,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,238.91	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Heat	40c	26,400$10,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,636.69	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs	61c	26,120$15,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,186.67	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Heat	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Spurs	60c	25,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs	72c	25,000$17,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,044.97	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Heat	39c	21,833$8,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,513.13	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x655b…677fbacked Heat	1c	20,675$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Heat	39c	20,169$7,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,865.88	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Heat	37c	19,984$7,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,394.19	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7380…509fbacked Spurs	61c	19,958$12,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,783.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	25c	19,769$4,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,965.43	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Heat	33c	16,278$5,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,371.58	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Spurs	65c	16,002$10,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600.63	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Heat	35c	15,339$5,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,410.32	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Heat	36c	15,109$5,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,439.35	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed Heat	15c	14,356$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.3	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	21c	13,845$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,890.3	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Heat	38c	13,442$5,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,107.95	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…19f3backed Heat	35c	13,000$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Heat	13c	12,670$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.87	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs	60c	12,500$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Spurs	61c	11,774$7,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,591.77	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Spurs	62c	11,664$7,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.21	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	39c	11,129$4,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,286.1	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Spurs	71c	10,863$7,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,187.29	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Spurs	63c	10,794$6,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,993.65	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs	62c	10,770$6,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,092.6	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Heat	18c	10,573$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.57	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	37c	10,120$3,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,701.33	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Spurs	65c	10,028$6,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,509.97	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Heat	19c	10,000$1,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,866.98	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	35c	9,719$3,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,414.73	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs	66c	9,639$6,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,279.34	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	40c	9,441$3,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,776.23	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Spurs	66c	9,400$6,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,196	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Heat	34c	9,400$3,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,195.93	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Heat	29c	9,078$2,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.44	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs	61c	9,000$5,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,515.73	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Spurs	68c	8,823$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,823.36	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	37c	8,390$3,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,117.56	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa438…8605backed Heat	34c	8,206$2,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,790.06	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	38c	8,088$3,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,113.43	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Spurs	62c	7,777$4,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,955.24	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs	60c	7,500$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs	60c	7,500$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c7…2b48backed Heat	34c	7,500$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	37c	7,340$2,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,729.31	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	16c	7,218$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.99	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Spurs	62c	6,557$4,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,491.66	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked Spurs	62c	6,557$4,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,491.66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs	61c	6,497$3,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,534.02	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	34c	6,356$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,173.73	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heat	35c	6,258$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190.42	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Spurs	60c	6,043$3,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,417.37	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Heat	39c	6,000$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Heat	7c	6,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Spurs	65c	6,000$3,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106.9	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Heat	1c	5,939$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…9fe7backed Heat	34c	5,900$2,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Heat	4c	5,821$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	20c	5,801$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.64	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Spurs	64c	5,651$3,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.53	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs	66c	5,588$3,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.76	168	63.1%106 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	12c	5,398$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.39	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Heat	39c	5,318$2,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.52	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	48	68.8%33 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event