NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9f8b1f0ff9efc0774fcf0c4be65521961a7f43492582d6cb4753c1b379a616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 50c | 26,519$13,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,259.33 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Heat | 52c | 8,654$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 49c | 8,339$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 50c | 7,845$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 49c | 6,083$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,032$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 48c | 3,191$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 50c | 2,801$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 49c | 2,303$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Heat | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 48c | 1,519$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.07 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 49c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Heat | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 51c | 960.4$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Spurs | 50c | 955.72$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 816$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 51c | 776.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 52c | 769.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 50c | 624.28$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Spurs | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 55c | 553.15$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 51c | 551.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Spurs | 50c | 549.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 57c | 380.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Heat | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Spurs | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Heat | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 48c | 192.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Heat | 51c | 177.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Spurs | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Spurs | 51c | 128.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Spurs | 50c | 121.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spurs | 50c | 117.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs | 48c | 101.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Spurs | 52c | 100.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Spurs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 48c | 77.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heat | 47c | 67.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Heat | 51c | 61.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…92bcbacked Spurs | 50c | 60.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Heat | 52c | 57.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Heat | 51c | 56.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Heat | 44c | 52.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Spurs | 49c | 50.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Heat | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Heat | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Spurs | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Heat | 50c | 44.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Heat | 51c | 43.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…1d6ebacked Spurs | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Spurs | 49c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…42acbacked Spurs | 50c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d541backed Spurs | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…4862backed Heat | 51c | 24.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Spurs | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked Spurs | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Heat | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…2332backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…8617backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…5cf7backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.