TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d34…5cf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.15
Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$40.21
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.68
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$17.74
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$14.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.16
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked bond1e · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.37
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$23.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$14
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$12.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+218.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$25.69
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.07
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$20.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$54.81
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$11.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.