Fifa International · resolved market
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10da3117d9ca9b8129b04b777cc362cd8bc37baed4f12e6ac2a62edcbf12173d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 52c | 79,912$41,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,357.65 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 48c | 79,759$38,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,284.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 0c | 63,123$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 34,161$18,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,467.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 46c | 24,163$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,059.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 49c | 16,007$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 11,835$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 0c | 9,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 9,306$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.5 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5596backed Over | 50c | 8,577$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 8,297$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.48 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 6,848$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.5 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 33c | 5,394$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,761$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.98 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 52c | 3,675$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 49c | 3,263$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 3,187$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.5 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 50c | 3,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Over | 51c | 2,943$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…86aabacked Over | 51c | 2,824$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 2,419$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.64 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 2,031$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.26 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 58c | 1,967$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 1,307$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 1,285$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 48c | 1,242$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 1,134$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.71 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 50c | 1,004$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 53c | 920.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 70c | 872.25$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 156 | 67.9%106 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 40c | 792.16$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Over | 50c | 661.69$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 604.13$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.66 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 54c | 588$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 578.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 52c | 576.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Over | 51c | 547.27$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 503.11$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Under | 50c | 498.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 50c | 430.72$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Over | 41c | 365.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 349.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 52c | 345.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 51c | 344$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 334.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Under | 51c | 314.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Under | 54c | 298.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 294.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 52c | 294.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 55c | 286.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Under | 52c | 280.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 49c | 275.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 52c | 260.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 52c | 257.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 238.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 50c | 238.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 232.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 227.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 53c | 221.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 19c | 194.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Under | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 181.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 181.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…6dcabacked Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…808abacked Over | 47c | 164$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 160.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 55c | 154.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 52c | 137.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…1bc1backed Over | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 128.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5this page
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.