Fifa International · resolved market
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f39deecd0b87f55e22f469092d58b6aec7401a2ad641eb2ebfb2942f35de6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 12,336$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 44c | 8,999$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.43 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 6c | 5,427$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 64c | 2,108$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.2 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 1,014$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 859.9$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.43 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 80c | 739.17$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 52c | 633.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Under | 33c | 604.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 586.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Over | 67c | 372.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Over | 65c | 309.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 299.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 65c | 289.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 58c | 258.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 39c | 257.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 223.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 61c | 218.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 51c | 217.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 55c | 154.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 131.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 39c | 114.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…2a9bbacked Under | 51c | 110.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 109.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 92.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 45c | 91.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 39c | 79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 56c | 78.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 67c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 64.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 50.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 40c | 50.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Under | 56c | 45.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 45.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 236 | 65.3%154 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Over | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6d97backed Over | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5this page
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.