Fifa International · resolved market
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4cfe4b1285223c19208f189a418dfda75bbf04582127081b712ae0ccf6b69a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 2c | 14,024$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.02 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 7,287$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 52c | 5,800$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 5,166$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.85 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 35c | 3,700$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 3,075$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 2,297$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,243$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.66 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.88 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 64c | 930.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 51c | 706.08$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 66c | 542.78$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 66c | 542.73$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…86aabacked No | 53c | 294.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 279.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 48c | 272.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked No | 52c | 263.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 49c | 251$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…36ffbacked Yes | 49c | 229.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 50c | 215.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…2483backed No | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 55c | 206.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…68d7backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 196.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 52c | 192.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…f9b7backed Yes | 49c | 182.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 149.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 112.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 48c | 97.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…65a4backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…473cbacked Yes | 23c | 55.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed No | 48c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 59c | 41.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 48c | 37.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…6581backed Yes | 49c | 35.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…8020backed No | 53c | 33.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…4a2ebacked No | 52c | 32.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…cf78backed Yes | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…cde0backed Yes | 49c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c01fbacked No | 53c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 47c | 25.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 23.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 50c | 20.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…0afabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.