TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,469 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Under51c89,852$45,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,709.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c41,090$21,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,055.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c17,413$8,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,800.2721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c16,332$8,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,281.141,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c12,184$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,213.671560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c11,100$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c9,106$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.581,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5702751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c5,592$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.842544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c4,898$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.6887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c4,209$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.7237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over49c3,576$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.763948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over49c2,550$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under51c2,500$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.986648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over46c1,998$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.842653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,490$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c1,485$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.466553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.472661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fb…8ea0backed Over52c1,106$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c792.03$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.864057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c791$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.419747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under31c770.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2373540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c755$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c699.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3643961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c698.3$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…db4cbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c529.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over68c456.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.211266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over54c450$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2073100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+517.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c390.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.228254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c319.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over66c316.02$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under52c304.62$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over49c302$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.026334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15027244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15310952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c293.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.797648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c264.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.099256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over49c263$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.58858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.48460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.420860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x226d…c471backed Under52c229.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Under52c223.49$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over49c220.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.96656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over49c219$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.699752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over49c197.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Under52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over49c173.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under22c148.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9326046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under50c147.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over49c146.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.332725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c142.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1514247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over78c139.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under52c134.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under49c132.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.756549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c124.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7510248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.454148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.