Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bdbaf7a149d81c972814ac2d93ef1aab7a8d321023881a7625a365b4085310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,716 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 762.02$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.3 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 752.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.45 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 684.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5587backed Yes | 79c | 508.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 45c | 321.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…a295backed No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…ab6cbacked No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7f…3493backed Yes | 52c | 163.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…d60cbacked Yes | 52c | 155.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…4c98backed No | 48c | 153$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b76…4746backed Yes | 52c | 143.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…b797backed Yes | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…11b3backed No | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…1f3abacked Yes | 52c | 139.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…fff4backed Yes | 52c | 136.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5c…6612backed No | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ac…f721backed Yes | 52c | 130.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…e0b8backed Yes | 52c | 129.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea26…6e32backed No | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…4cc5backed Yes | 52c | 126.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…cd2abacked No | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…d7d0backed No | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…6cd3backed No | 48c | 122.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…e6b6backed Yes | 52c | 122.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…760dbacked No | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 22c | 82.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 59.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…b868backed No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 45.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 45.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 79c | 45.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 78c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.