Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1494517c2b595762be8b736a686bd6d17b258a031f36302f69152a9c75486ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,128 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 1,524$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 809.73$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 3c | 403.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 5c | 283.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…a169backed Under | 26c | 252.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…25cabacked Over | 74c | 252.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 74c | 121.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 24c | 113.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 74c | 102.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 74c | 72.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 72c | 64.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Over | 77c | 44.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 43.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 74c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.