Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be1617e4bb1822e247c85b335feecc56cc8a7891000805fbd356dd26b6cc3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Nantesof RC Strasbourg Alsace, FC Nantes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,969 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 15,082$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.41 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Nantes | 77c | 13,132$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 1,417$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10c | 1,028$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 994.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 754.05$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed FC Nantes | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 620.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed FC Nantes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 266.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked FC Nantes | 76c | 262.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Nantes | 77c | 225.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Nantes | 77c | 204.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Nantes | 76c | 202$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed FC Nantes | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 191$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 185.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 157.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed FC Nantes | 75c | 146.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 141.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FC Nantes | 77c | 139.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 9c | 128.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 13c | 125.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 106.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 101.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed FC Nantes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 90.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed FC Nantes | 75c | 79.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Nantes | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Nantes | 78c | 74.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed FC Nantes | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked FC Nantes | 76c | 64.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 62.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked FC Nantes | 75c | 53.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed FC Nantes | 75c | 45.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…9878backed FC Nantes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…78febacked FC Nantes | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Nantes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed FC Nantes | 78c | 13.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.