Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7f0ad03ffe549e03805a35452e3f62a5e1e23245f3e1616f03ec3c9b2c9fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof MOUZ, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,157,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 67,321$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,320.88 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ | 45c | 63,412$28,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,681.65 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 55,301$30,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,280.64 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked MOUZ | 46c | 37,000$17,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,019.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 25,942$14,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,172.74 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed MOUZ | 43c | 23,832$10,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.01 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 3c | 22,577$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.01 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 19,288$10,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,290.61 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 47c | 19,000$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,929.44 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed MOUZ | 44c | 16,433$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ | 22c | 13,971$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.39 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 12,050$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 56c | 10,893$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.16 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 44c | 9,999$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.66 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed MOUZ | 4c | 9,914$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 41c | 9,784$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed MOUZ | 45c | 9,757$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ | 43c | 9,507$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 46c | 9,240$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.17 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 9,214$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.41 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 36c | 8,844$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.14 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 15c | 8,738$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.84 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 46c | 8,500$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 7,745$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.81 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 7,677$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…ce17backed MOUZ | 69c | 7,267$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 36c | 7,228$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.35 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 47c | 7,214$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 7,085$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 6,192$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.33 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed MOUZ | 48c | 6,062$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 46c | 5,550$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,412$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 5,387$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.26 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 5,237$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.87 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 5,224$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 25c | 5,197$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 4,954$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.02 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MOUZ | 27c | 4,942$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.72 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 4,916$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.53 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed MOUZ | 38c | 4,844$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,490$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed MOUZ | 70c | 4,100$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.99 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 4,004$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed MOUZ | 57c | 3,999$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,963$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.62 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 24c | 3,849$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.74 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 3,803$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.72 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed MOUZ | 48c | 3,582$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.09 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,494$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,450$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 27c | 3,278$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,253$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.95 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 19c | 3,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.09 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,126$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,100$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 44c | 3,055$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,026$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.95 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,969$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,920$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.47 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…fad7backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 2,854$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,700$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…57c7backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,698$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,667$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.66 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,626$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,610$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.89 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,500$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,493$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 2,442$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,410$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.97 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,358$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.08 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 71c | 2,320$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.43 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,276$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.19 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,274$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,251$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,230$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.94 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 2,226$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,175$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.08 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,141$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.67 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 19c | 2,095$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.78 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MOUZ | 38c | 2,084$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.51 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,083$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.27 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,032$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.83 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,012$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.9 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,971$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,959$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.48 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.