Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9aff4cfe3556cff3e9876661a69e5229f7e29b1d1adcc64e59e675e533d5e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 80,090$40,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,932.53 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 50c | 68,210$34,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,131.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 56,289$25,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,570.36 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed MOUZ | 47c | 14,302$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.66 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 49c | 10,220$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 10,074$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.63 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 9,651$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.02 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 55c | 8,809$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.49 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 8,790$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 47c | 8,612$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.16 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 7,901$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 48c | 7,228$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.92 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ | 76c | 7,220$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.35 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 64c | 6,742$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.05 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed MOUZ | 46c | 6,661$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.93 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 68c | 6,196$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.26 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,908$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.08 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 5,687$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.85 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.6 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,484$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 5,330$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.57 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 5,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 5,043$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.51 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed MOUZ | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked MOUZ | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,742$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.16 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,500$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.74 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 4,120$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.19 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,946$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 3,440$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 3,312$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 3,186$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.27 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,550$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.94 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,549$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,493$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,192$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.67 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,170$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,066$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.79 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,041$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.61 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,016$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 2,008$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,000$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.24 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,984$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.02 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,916$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,908$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.05 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 1,870$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.19 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,847$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.04 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,741$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.94 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,686$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,668$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,645$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.39 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,630$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.96 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,547$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.29 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,531$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,425$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.93 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,400$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,400$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,390$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,349$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 1,310$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,285$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,237$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.66 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,201$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.07 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,200$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,166$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.11 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,140$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.66 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,110$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.18 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,108$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.71 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,100$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.9 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,099$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.62 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,052$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.64 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…a17cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 999.04$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 67c | 987.87$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 930.38$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 928.3$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 906.82$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 901.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 61c | 895.28$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 890.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 854.08$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 834.27$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.51 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 805.43$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 49c | 802.69$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 800$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 53c | 775.07$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 766.62$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed MOUZ | 50c | 765.71$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.07 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.