Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc747b95b0d671523f3497c799b4b14b9772f0c2ee597fce0b3f44712d0a684d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof MOUZ, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 47,032$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,031.8 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 35,436$15,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,614.8 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 3c | 30,049$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.97 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 54c | 15,327$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,257.71 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed MOUZ | 53c | 14,653$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,795.37 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 12,458$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed MOUZ | 47c | 11,317$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.06 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 47c | 8,993$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 8,927$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.82 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 3c | 8,911$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 7,198$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.26 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 6,904$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.74 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 42c | 6,636$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.37 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 52c | 6,322$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.45 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 6,308$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.11 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 12c | 6,120$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.54 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 5,323$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.44 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 5,149$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.92 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 14c | 5,000$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked MOUZ | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 4,602$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 4,532$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.79 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 4,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 4,442$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 51c | 4,168$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.51 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 4,148$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.42 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 39c | 4,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.95 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed MOUZ | 16c | 3,417$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,342$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.73 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 3,276$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.69 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,162$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,151$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.9 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,726$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.08 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,636$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,617$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.11 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 12c | 2,538$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,440$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,375$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.08 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 9c | 2,102$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,060$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.69 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,020$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.13 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,999$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.52 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,976$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,974$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,885$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,881$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.85 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed MOUZ | 11c | 1,873$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,850$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.22 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,811$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.41 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,711$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.63 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,654$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.54 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,597$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,511$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.64 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,507$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.24 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 1,500$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.14 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 12c | 1,445$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,328$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,305$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,300$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,255$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.33 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,236$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.26 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,217$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 5c | 1,204$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.97 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.92 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,184$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.39 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.72 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…a17cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,126$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,107$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,098$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,097$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.56 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,089$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.62 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 978.53$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.52 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 959.04$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.02 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed MOUZ | 24c | 926.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…e71ebacked MOUZ | 38c | 923.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 896.88$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 847.91$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 839.62$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.75 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 825.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.16 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 825.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.01 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 809.28$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked MOUZ | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 25c | 796.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed MOUZ | 27c | 751.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.