TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f24…9141

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$313.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$454
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$505.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.97
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.17
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.91
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$308.99
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$309.99
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.82
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.81
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$642.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.81
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$657.54
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$588.7
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$519.2
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79.95
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$267.3
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$101.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.