TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION74c25,143$18,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,540.5940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION71c13,904$9,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.5454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro24c6,042$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.1851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro29c5,771$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.541,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro28c5,622$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.422,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro25c4,772$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.571,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked PARIVISION79c4,751$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.83762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro26c4,600$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.911,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro24c4,284$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.9347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro25c4,150$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.181,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Virtus.pro1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro28c3,403$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.0568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Virtus.pro22c3,348$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4541944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro13c3,259$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.611,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION79c2,560$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.4934468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION79c2,521$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4447650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro24c2,408$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.712,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION70c2,284$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.79749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro26c2,213$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.4789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro24c1,983$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7757455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521e…859ebacked Virtus.pro4c1,973$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.491735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Virtus.pro24c1,770$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.931245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Virtus.pro16c1,734$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0197142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Virtus.pro24c1,505$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro4c1,487$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro38c1,279$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2923546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro28c1,274$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9155457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro23c1,216$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2718649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro40c1,200$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48160646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro14c1,045$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION78c923.37$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1412966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Virtus.pro23c865.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.793243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b1…cf86backed PARIVISION74c857.28$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.81770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Virtus.pro23c854.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2311043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Virtus.pro23c786.7$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5811648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed Virtus.pro32c658.64$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro23c654.69$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro27c589.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.931,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f24…9141backed Virtus.pro18c571$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Virtus.pro28c517.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9437047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked PARIVISION78c506.05$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3335461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION77c467.1$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION78c464.3$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed PARIVISION74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11710738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked PARIVISION80c433.98$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2517954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION73c406.96$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Virtus.pro28c405.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.567424.3%18 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro30c398.18$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.121,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION77c386.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed Virtus.pro43c380.86$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed PARIVISION77c378.47$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.053764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Virtus.pro31c362.41$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5229347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro15c356.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8188539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro30c317.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5437223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9238653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro21c292.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.121,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro20c286.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro22c282.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro23c273.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.924251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION76c241.35$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2236761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION77c221.9$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.041,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…69fabacked Virtus.pro28c215.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.321127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro9c212.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3815545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Virtus.pro26c205.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4118745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Virtus.pro14c203.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION70c199.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8417373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro33c191.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Virtus.pro39c185.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3533845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed PARIVISION76c167.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.894259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Virtus.pro29c163.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Virtus.pro24c159.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1841037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Virtus.pro30c150.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.034647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed PARIVISION78c145.36$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3522259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Virtus.pro33c141.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0515546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Virtus.pro33c139.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.138132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Virtus.pro33c138.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.131030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Virtus.pro35c135.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0714832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro25c135.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed Virtus.pro17c134.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro10c134.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9472637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked PARIVISION78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.834178%32 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION79c125.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1741655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro27c124.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4786451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Virtus.pro26c115.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8757654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Virtus.pro21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro23c99.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8855751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Virtus.pro24c95.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6536138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Virtus.pro41c89.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1522033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro13c82.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8292056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked PARIVISION70c76.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro32c74.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569a…843cbacked Virtus.pro24c73.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus.pro17c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8820954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed PARIVISION78c70.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked PARIVISION72c67.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.592352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…907cbacked Virtus.pro24c64.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked Virtus.pro38c63.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro29c63.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.