Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845273d6e1d54538b90053fca50faca0d71727c7a3f3687151379a4e5c927921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 3,568$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 3,214$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Virtus.pro | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 1,054$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 783.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 749.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 741.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 492.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 424.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 350.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 329.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 326.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 288.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 272.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…a26bbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 234.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 199.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 160.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed PARIVISION | 76c | 160.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 6c | 156.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 134.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 126.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 126.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION | 76c | 117.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 104.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 94.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 93.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 92.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 80.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 75.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 68.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 68.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 65.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 64.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 57.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…11e8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 30.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed PARIVISION | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.