Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e80e7c20d41379883ca5c516c3e72f90f601caa5340a2ff8823ec6a54dbc1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 4,086$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 3,452$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 2,663$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.82 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 2,246$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,005$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.01 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 1,772$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,736$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,606$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,313$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.56 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,257$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.04 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,040$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 996.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 991.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 946.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 869.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 78c | 844.8$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro | 6c | 837.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 769.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 753.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION | 75c | 719.81$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Virtus.pro | 6c | 576.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed PARIVISION | 75c | 543.9$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 477.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 451.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 383.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 295.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed PARIVISION | 80c | 292.53$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 289.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 255.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 228$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 185.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 140.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 137.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 103.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 89.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 84.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 82.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 69.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed PARIVISION | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 31.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed PARIVISION | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed PARIVISION | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.