TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ca7…3411

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT7068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.94
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.53
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$21.56
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$15.89
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$91.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.56
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$19.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$25.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$28.13
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.07
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.01
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.99
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$11.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$36.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.