Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6ac05a9fe18a37b2291fc0988298dc7462eb90ef687ac368fdededb7657c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof MOUZ, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 62c | 33,475$20,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,807.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 58c | 18,649$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,755.43 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed 1win | 51c | 12,892$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 37c | 11,997$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.09 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 42c | 8,288$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 33c | 6,585$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 31c | 6,521$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 39c | 4,941$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.71 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 44c | 4,891$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 38c | 4,772$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed MOUZ | 69c | 4,696$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.73 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 43c | 3,997$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.12 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 42c | 3,812$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.4 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 45c | 3,048$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.4 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ | 73c | 2,823$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.03 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 37c | 2,700$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed 1win | 73c | 1,708$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…8919backed MOUZ | 9c | 1,666$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 78c | 1,634$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.37 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,589$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.7 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed 1win | 17c | 1,578$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.67 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 45c | 1,431$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 1win | 29c | 1,343$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.85 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked 1win | 40c | 1,306$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed 1win | 34c | 1,093$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.82 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 44c | 1,078$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 9c | 1,055$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 36c | 996.32$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.65 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 40c | 973.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.87 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed 1win | 32c | 960.39$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 71c | 956.65$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.06 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed MOUZ | 25c | 954.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ | 68c | 898$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.64 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked 1win | 42c | 895.52$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ | 54c | 850.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.13 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed 1win | 78c | 797.35$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.26 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 60c | 732.59$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.19 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 60c | 709.12$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 10c | 698.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked 1win | 31c | 646$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 16c | 591.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 60c | 587.01$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 62c | 586.32$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 550$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed 1win | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed 1win | 43c | 464.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 42c | 443.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed 1win | 25c | 434.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 55c | 392.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed MOUZ | 78c | 392.58$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed 1win | 42c | 386.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 39c | 347.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed 1win | 59c | 331.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed MOUZ | 64c | 306.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed 1win | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed 1win | 32c | 288.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…de86backed MOUZ | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ | 78c | 260$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 41c | 218.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed 1win | 36c | 216.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 216.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed 1win | 46c | 209.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 33c | 205.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked MOUZ | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 66c | 197.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked 1win | 26c | 192.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed 1win | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed 1win | 43c | 181.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MOUZ | 67c | 176$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed MOUZ | 57c | 167.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed MOUZ | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 44c | 149.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed 1win | 36c | 148.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed MOUZ | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed 1win | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 66c | 110.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed 1win | 74c | 106.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed MOUZ | 51c | 100.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed MOUZ | 60c | 100.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…615bbacked MOUZ | 71c | 99.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 56c | 97.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 61c | 97.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed 1win | 35c | 97.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…bea7backed 1win | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked MOUZ | 25c | 93.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed MOUZ | 51c | 93.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…0b37backed 1win | 28c | 88.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 17c | 85.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.