TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof MOUZ, 1win
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe15…80b5backed 1win80c7,904$6,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ46c5,537$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.3567043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ45c4,890$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.462,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked 1win62c4,632$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.3353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed 1win67c4,580$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.2913068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed 1win66c4,578$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 1win54c4,226$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.9547046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed 1win57c3,635$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.749657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ47c2,454$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.4299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win39c1,994$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.471,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked 1win24c1,877$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.369835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed 1win56c1,876$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.295747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 1win49c1,781$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4356852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked MOUZ64c1,774$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.583557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win55c1,509$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed MOUZ1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+127%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win28c1,497$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 1win43c1,474$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.631,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ57c1,277$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.582,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked 1win80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24723546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed 1win23c1,229$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.5218452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked MOUZ65c1,216$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1435461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked MOUZ1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ44c998.28$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0471342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ76c983.51$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.6930155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win21c904.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.2646240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ40c893.03$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1710738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ51c749.18$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0443647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 1win41c728.32$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.931,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 1win40c719.33$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.21,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win55c689.47$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.123342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked 1win40c662.54$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.357243.1%31 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 1win53c637.1$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.441,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed MOUZ39c634.95$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5617353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked 1win44c628.26$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.95910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed MOUZ43c617.69$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2728544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ50c577.54$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0723529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 1win55c447.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed MOUZ30c441.46$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ3c399.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5369033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed 1win80c395.2$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0411353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked 1win25c389.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4412740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed MOUZ77c384.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8618954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ7c375$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2565337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e3…14c3backed MOUZ79c349.96$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ46c333.81$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.471,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a5…1fbfbacked MOUZ35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed MOUZ7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed MOUZ7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x547c…7983backed MOUZ37c297$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.621250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…3519backed MOUZ76c293.61$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ51c283.03$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0517954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed MOUZ28c278$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.843542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ78c255.16$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked MOUZ54c251.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13618745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e5…07e1backed MOUZ76c250.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked MOUZ50c240.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.287741.6%32 W · 45 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ44c238.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.620043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked MOUZ76c231.32$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.84165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 1win80c214.89$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9840534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked MOUZ78c213.64$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.394723.4%11 W · 36 L-8.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed MOUZ79c203.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.056352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ79c199.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9925150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked MOUZ49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9913026.2%34 W · 96 L-15.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed MOUZ49c198.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked 1win50c194.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2832148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed 1win43c191.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.573151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 1win26c181.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4657735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ74c179$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4615653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked 1win47c164.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed MOUZ55c161.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5411753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win27c152.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1251550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed 1win75c149.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed MOUZ60c145.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.965549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed MOUZ50c143.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked 1win22c131.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.744341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed MOUZ77c129.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093d…615bbacked MOUZ77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.625464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed MOUZ79c124.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7424955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ38c123.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed 1win57c118.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.834341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ77c115.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7615250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed MOUZ50c113.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7831644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed 1win13c109$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8333541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1win23c106.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.360542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed MOUZ79c103.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6623736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed 1win65c102.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9822752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked 1win25c100.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.632352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 1win19c100.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed MOUZ36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.451526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked 1win51c99.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.643243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed 1win55c99.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5834045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad82…c48abacked MOUZ49c98.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked MOUZ50c98.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked MOUZ44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af2…8bd8backed MOUZ50c95.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed 1win51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6317443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b17…b58dbacked MOUZ51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5660660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.