Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5841b9763205b9bbd373138b1e4c14b7d8ccd74bbf8c127fd05fa4e3db93ac0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof MOUZ, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 58c | 18,060$10,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,389.57 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 55c | 7,985$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 61c | 7,756$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.93 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 35c | 5,408$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.75 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed 1win | 43c | 4,940$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.94 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed 1win | 50c | 4,798$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked MOUZ | 53c | 4,468$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.31 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 30c | 3,104$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.14 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 25c | 2,161$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.86 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 44c | 2,029$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 66c | 1,491$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.39 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed 1win | 41c | 1,418$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.71 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,251$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.21 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked 1win | 39c | 1,246$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,220$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.13 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 36c | 1,204$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.48 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 28c | 1,137$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 56c | 1,112$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 1win | 39c | 1,105$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.24 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 43c | 1,067$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.84 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed 1win | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed 1win | 31c | 996.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.68 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 70c | 993.17$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.77 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed 1win | 43c | 914.06$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 32c | 906.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.07 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 898.74$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…8821backed MOUZ | 69c | 840.39$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 54c | 828.57$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 814.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 34c | 753.42$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.26 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed MOUZ | 69c | 711.97$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 72c | 675.71$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.69 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 40c | 630.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 12c | 594.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.51 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 34c | 570.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 38c | 569.01$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.48 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed 1win | 32c | 564.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win | 37c | 530.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 37c | 496.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 492.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 55c | 474.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 1win | 13c | 445.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 44c | 427.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed 1win | 30c | 417.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed 1win | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 1win | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 1win | 10c | 398.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked 1win | 39c | 369.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 1win | 24c | 363.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.01 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 353.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked 1win | 80c | 300.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed 1win | 35c | 300.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked 1win | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 68c | 294.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed 1win | 26c | 288$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.31 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 1win | 45c | 269.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed 1win | 36c | 264.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 38c | 260$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed 1win | 57c | 258.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…d718backed MOUZ | 14c | 239.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 69c | 235.37$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 25c | 216.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked 1win | 40c | 215.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed MOUZ | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked MOUZ | 38c | 191.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed MOUZ | 71c | 187.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 66c | 178.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 36c | 170.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 32c | 168.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed 1win | 46c | 156.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked MOUZ | 78c | 150.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked 1win | 39c | 139.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…bdd5backed MOUZ | 23c | 138.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed 1win | 12c | 137.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 56c | 136.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 57c | 136.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked 1win | 66c | 128.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed MOUZ | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed MOUZ | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed MOUZ | 67c | 113.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 45c | 108.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed MOUZ | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked MOUZ | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 65c | 88.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked MOUZ | 17c | 83.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed MOUZ | 66c | 82.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed 1win | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed 1win | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed 1win | 44c | 77.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed 1win | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MOUZ | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ | 20c | 67.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked 1win | 36c | 64.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed 1win | 57c | 62.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.