CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1f3b5182a6b2f266ae49e6767e5bac690c8a6751739e2b49d10c2d4be5d84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,953 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 51,912$24,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,248.94 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 29,447$15,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,077.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 18,370$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.7 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 17,762$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.24 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 15,462$10,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 14,789$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 10,466$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.94 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 9,197$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 9,002$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.45 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 8,877$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.69 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 6,981$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.43 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 6,563$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.87 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 6,047$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.4 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 5,710$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.61 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,951$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.15 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,536$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.22 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,309$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.17 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,304$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.54 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,712$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,564$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.45 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,518$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.92 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,244$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.5 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,171$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.47 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 3,088$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.25 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,074$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.51 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,016$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.86 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,844$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.69 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,838$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 2,794$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.09 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,744$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,585$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 2,501$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.8 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…59e6backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,191$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,954$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.41 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,834$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,830$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.61 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,713$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,579$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.88 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,465$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,433$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.28 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,429$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,401$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.75 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,392$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,376$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.78 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,329$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.05 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,281$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,281$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.92 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,243$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.7 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,207$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.07 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,199$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.56 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,187$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.31 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,170$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.51 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,168$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,151$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,116$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.36 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,113$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,109$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,060$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.87 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 989.26$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 971.42$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 964.41$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 902.02$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.32 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 901.79$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 883.03$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.45 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 866.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.36 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 859.17$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.77 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 850.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 798.66$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 725.21$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 707.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.8 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 669.57$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 653.65$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.93 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 651.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 646.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.79 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…2ababacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 634.9$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 621$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 613.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 580.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 577.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 570.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 555.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 553.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 546.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 540.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 534.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 534.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 526.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.