CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a2d3743a1c9360858f9487e3a101cdfce8330013d9fd3b2eecbad792e7d641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,984 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 20,750$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.98 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 13,962$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.6 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 13,677$10,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.58 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 13,336$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.52 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 7,678$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,543$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 7,097$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.98 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,875$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 6,379$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.83 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 4,838$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.03 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 4,759$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.73 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 4,531$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 4,440$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 4,333$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.93 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,614$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.53 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,592$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.62 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,540$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,528$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.79 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,324$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.36 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,237$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.45 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,090$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.38 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,000$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.64 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,900$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.72 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,781$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.36 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,770$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.49 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 2,686$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,640$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,546$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.08 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,453$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.54 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,400$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,251$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.88 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,205$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,102$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.96 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,063$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,023$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.73 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,940$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,939$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.95 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…f77ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,619$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,466$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,437$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,430$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.71 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,414$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,408$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,314$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.97 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,296$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,255$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.72 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,250$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,189$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…243ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,121$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,121$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,071$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.45 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,000$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.28 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 991.33$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 990$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 958.08$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 951.84$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.54 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 909.47$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.51 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…2ababacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 881.94$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 866.33$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.33 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 856.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 824.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 799.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 783.18$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 762.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 756.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…5a82backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 736.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 719.68$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 713.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 710.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 686.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 683.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 672.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 662.35$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 630.2$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 600$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 599.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 585.9$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 585.63$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 574.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.28 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…23f8backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 568.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 567.74$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…e53bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 542.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 542.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…69d7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 527.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 513.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 510.46$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.